UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady presents an exciting clash between two skilled welterweights eager to climb the ranks of the division. The fight, headlining a card packed with talent, sees veteran Gilbert Burns face off against rising star Sean Brady.
Both fighters are known for their well-rounded skill sets, but the outcome of this bout hinges on how each athlete leverages their strengths against the other’s weaknesses.
Gilbert Burns (22-6-0) is a seasoned Brazilian fighter known for his world-class Brazilian jiu-jitsu skills. Over the years, the 38-year-old Burns has evolved into a well-rounded competitor, adding striking and wrestling to his repertoire. His UFC career began as a lightweight, but he has seen considerable success since moving up to welterweight, including a title challenge against Kamaru Usman in 2021, though he lost the bout. Burns’ recent form has been mixed.
After an electrifying battle against Khamzat Chimaev in 2022, which he lost via decision, he returned to dominate Neil Magny and earn a unanimous decision against Jorge Masvidal. However, Burns suffered a disheartening loss to Jack Della Maddalena, raising questions about whether his championship window is closing as younger fighters in the division begin to rise.
Sean Brady (15-1-0) is a highly regarded up-and-coming fighter who has rapidly ascended the welterweight ranks. Brady’s background in wrestling has made him a formidable challenge for many opponents, and he has earned a reputation for his relentless pressure and submission game. His undefeated streak in the UFC came to a halt against Belal Muhammad, where he was outclassed in a TKO loss.
However, Brady remains a top contender and is looking to rebound with a win against Burns. At just 30 years old, Brady’s combination of youth, athleticism, and grappling prowess gives him a promising future in the division.
The Matchup: Striking vs. Grappling
At its core, this fight will likely come down to how well each fighter can implement their preferred game plan. Burns has shown over time that he’s more than just a grappler, as his striking has become a potent weapon.
- He has knockout power, as seen in his victory against Demian Maia. Burns has also shown the ability to adapt in real-time, utilizing his wrestling when necessary, as demonstrated in his dominant win over Neil Magny earlier in 2023.
- Brady, on the other hand, is an elite wrestler with a knack for finding submissions. His victory over Michael Chiesa was a testament to his control on the ground, but Brady has yet to face a fighter with as dangerous a submission game as Burns.
To win this fight, Brady will likely need to use his wrestling to neutralise Burns’ grappling and test his opponent’s striking defence.
Burns has acknowledged that Brady’s wrestling is formidable but believes his experience gives him the edge. Burns is no stranger to high-pressure situations, having faced some of the toughest fighters in the welterweight division.
Burns has proven he can go the distance in gruelling fights, as evidenced in his bout with Khamzat Chimaev, where his endurance and striking resilience were on full display.
Key Factors to Watch out for
1. Brady’s wrestling is his bread and butter, but Burns is no slouch when it comes to grappling. Burns will look to counter Brady’s takedowns with submission attempts or by creating scrambles to get back to his feet.
2. Burns has the more polished striking game, which could be the difference if the fight stays on the feet. Burns can land significant strikes and has knockout power, while Brady will likely focus on setting up his wrestling through his jab and straight punches.
3. Both fighters have been known to slow down in later rounds, but the pacing of this fight could depend on who dictates the tempo. Brady will try to keep a relentless pace, looking to drag Burns into deep waters, while Burns will attempt to pick his moments.
UFC Fight Night Prediction: Burns via Decision
This fight is razor-close and could go either way, depending on how well each fighter implements their game plan. Burns’ experience against elite competition, combined with his grappling and striking, might give him the edge, particularly if he can keep Brady from controlling the fight with his wrestling.
Sean Brady, while an impressive grappler, has shown vulnerabilities against opponents who can keep him on the back foot. If Burns can weather the early storm and prevent Brady from securing takedowns, his striking and experience may carry him to a decision victory. On the other hand, if Brady can consistently land takedowns and control Burns, he could very well grind out a decision of his own.
