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Chances of Winning UCL 2023-24 By Each Semifinalist

After the quarter-finals, the teams for the semi-finals are decided. Borussia Dortmund will play against PSG again, like they did before. Bayern Munich will challenge Real Madrid to reach the finals. The excitement of the UCL finals is so high that every fan is calculating the chances of winning UCL 2023-24 for each Semi-finalist team.

The semi-finals will happen on April 30th/May 1st and May 7th/8th, 2024. The Final will be on June 1st, 2024. Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, and PSG are big teams. Borussia Dortmund is considered an underdog. Fans are excited about who will win the Champions League.

Let’s see each semifinalist team’s chances of winning UCL 2023-24 and make predictions based on their historical performances.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid, who lost to Man City last season, are aiming for their 15th European Cup win. Real Madrid also has a high chances of winning UCL 2023-24 after entering the Semi-finals. Winner of the 2021-22 season, Real Madrid has some challenges this time after the departure of Karim Benzema and the injury of Thibaut Courtois.

Real Madrid made it to the semi-finals with a 39% chances of winning UCL 2023-24. They drew with Leipzig in the last 16 and faced Man City in the quarter-finals, winning on penalties.

Real Madrid has a strong history in the Champions League, making it to the semi-finals for the fourth year in a row and 12 times in the last 14 years.

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich signed Harry Kane hoping he would lead them to Champions League victory last summer. Last season, they were defeated by Man City in the quarter-finals.

Bayern won five wins and tied one despite the challenges to remain in the Champions League. But in the last 16 ties, they struggled against Lazio, losing the first leg. However, they won the second leg, partly thanks to Harry Kane’s two goals. They also won in the quarter-finals against Arsenal.

Although Bayern didn’t win the Bundesliga this season, they are in the Champions League semi-finals for the first time since 2019 or 2020. Harry Kane’s pursuit of a trophy is a big topic, but facing Real Madrid makes some doubt their chances.

The second most valuable UCL team, Bayern has a high chance of winning UCL 2023-24. Bayern is strong and ready to challenge Real Madrid and has a chance of 16.9% to win the title.


PSG wants to win the Champions League this season, but after the departure of Messi and Neymar, Some people thought this was good for them, especially after they were knocked out in the last 16 for two years in a row.

In the last 16, they beat Real Sociedad 4-1 overall, but the quarter-finals were tough. They played against Barcelona and were losing 3-2 after the first game. But they won 4-1 in the second game and went through to the semi-finals.

Having one of the future stars of Football, Kylian Mbappe PSG’s attack is strong, which gives them a good chance to win. They are second favorites in the Champions League odds with a 27.4% chances of winning UCL 2023-24.

Playing against Dortmund in the semi-finals will be difficult, but PSG is expected to do well in both games.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund wasn’t expected to do well in the Champions League this season. They didn’t make it past the group stage two years ago and lost last season. 

In the last 16, they drew with PSV in the first leg but won 3-1 in the second leg. This got them to the quarter-finals for the second time in seven seasons. They faced Atletico Madrid and came back from being behind to win 5-4.

Dortmund’s run to the semi-finals is impressive with a 16.4% chances of winning UCL 2023-24.


In the Champions League semis, Real Madrid, Bayern Munich, PSG, and Borussia Dortmund face both strengths and challenges. Real Madrid’s experience gives them an edge, despite missing key players.

Bayern, now with Harry Kane, is looking forward to winning. PSG, having strong skills. Dortmund impressed with their performance. Each team’s journey adds suspense to the unpredictable race for the Champions League trophy. Who do you think which team has a high chances of winning UCL 2023-24?

Umair Basraa

Umair Basraa is an experienced Sports Writer with over three years of expertise covering a wide range of sports, including Cricket, Wrestling, UFC/MMA, Boxing, NBA, and Football. His insightful analysis and engaging storytelling bring the excitement and drama of sports to life for his readers. Basraa's work captures the intricacies of each game, offering a deep understanding of the athletes and events that shape the world of sports.

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